tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post2625867514368761781..comments2024-01-08T00:40:50.918-08:00Comments on The Dragon's Tales: The Climate Effects of a Nuclear WarUnknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post-51341848294677809432008-07-21T11:52:00.000-07:002008-07-21T11:52:00.000-07:00Carlos.I'll see if I can whip up a good answer thi...Carlos.<BR/><BR/>I'll see if I can whip up a good answer this week. It's not as simple as Sagan's oopses. :)Will Bairdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07562404098136557872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post-18886471334485978272008-07-20T13:07:00.000-07:002008-07-20T13:07:00.000-07:00Sadly, the much missed Carl Sagan exaggerated "nuc...Sadly, the much missed Carl Sagan exaggerated "nuclear winter" climactic effects forecasting dire consequences should the oil wells get torched pre Gulf War I. The oil fields did get torched and years were spent getting them back. No major ecodisaster. Admitedly, the degrees of torchiness in Sagan's case weren't specified nor is there readily available info on precisely how many burned and how long.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post-33903494459524107842008-07-19T08:20:00.000-07:002008-07-19T08:20:00.000-07:00Will, I've never quite understood your disdain tow...Will, I've never quite understood your disdain towards nuclear winter research. I've examined a number of the models, and they are what they say what they are. They've only been 'discredited' in the popular press, as part of a partisan noise machine tactic which should be extremely familiar to you.<BR/><BR/>The climatic effects of a nuclear war appear to be enough to disrupt hemispheric agriculture for several growing seasons. That means mass death for much of the world's population, just as the explosion of Tambora caused famine and dearth throughout Eurasia and even North America.<BR/><BR/>I haven't come across any nuclear winter *studies* which claim human extinction as the likeliest possibility, as you've said they have in the past. For this topic, I wouldn't go by popularizations. (Although Sagan would say some wild stuff after he toked up.)<BR/><BR/>If memory serves, one of Robock's recent papers has a review of all the nuclear winter models up to the present day. You might want to track it down. Most of them are pretty simple -- like, run on an Excel spreadsheet simple -- but they appear to be robust.<BR/><BR/>CarlosAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com