tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post3356635452021804392..comments2024-01-08T00:40:50.918-08:00Comments on The Dragon's Tales: US Army: No Terminators, ThinkTanks: Hell Yes! Robopocalypse all the way!Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post-8901559375153845892014-01-24T12:48:59.987-08:002014-01-24T12:48:59.987-08:00This deserves a longer reply than a mere comment s...This deserves a longer reply than a mere comment section can support. <br /><br />Very Short version: Singularity is bunk. <br /><br />Short version: The Singularity is bunk. Uploaded minds are going to be so damned hard that I doubt they will happen. At least not for a long, long time. As I have pointed out in email and whatnot, normal processors are hitting a wall. Their replacements don't exist and may not for some time. Using generalized CPUs therefore will NEVER lead to an uploaded mind. I do not believe we will have a respectable AI within my lifetime either. Maybe not for 100 years.<br /><br />Call it 99% chance of no uploaded minds within our lifetime or our grandkids' lifetime. No true AI within 100 years either.<br /><br />If you like, I've been planning on a crazy thought follow-up post. I can move that up so I can give a more nuanced version. <br /><br />Addendum: Now, there's stuff I am not ready to talk about in public which might have some impact which is from the day job. I've mentioned that in email. <br />Will Bairdhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07562404098136557872noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-10092066.post-43661799560484364842014-01-23T16:08:19.373-08:002014-01-23T16:08:19.373-08:00Will, I am confused about your position on the sin...Will, I am confused about your position on the singularity. (Not the flying bug attack robots.) On the one hand, you've argued that uploading or emulating minds is impossible. But recently you seem to have changed your position. Is that correct, or was I misunderstanding your original opinion?Noel Maurerhttp://noelmaurer.typepad.comnoreply@blogger.com