Wednesday, April 30, 2014

Ukraine: The Sound of the Floor Giving Way?

The situation has worsened in Ukraine.

Lugansk has had numerous government buildings taken over by the Little Green Men.

Pervomaysk has likewise had buildings seized by LGM.

There are reports Mariupol and Berdyansk are next to fall to the LGM.

The police seem to have all but given up or gone over in Donetsk. Something similar seems to be happening in Lugansk.

A very weird bit was an actual Neo Nazi banner and torch light march came into the Maidan in Kiev. The Euromaidan defense force stopped them at the entrance to the Maidan. No one seems to know who the people were. Or what they were doing there. THey claimed to be supporting Ukraine against Russia, but no one seems to understand who they were or where they came from. The entire incident was bizarre. The only thing which makes sense is they are actually doing theater for the Rusian cameras, but even that seems...excessive and odd. it definitely produced fodder for the Russian cameras.


On the positive.

The Ukrainian army has cleared two more checkpoints into Slavyansk.

US Secretary of State Kerry has come out and stated they have intercepted enough communications between the commanders on the ground in Eastern Ukraine and the folks controlling them in Russia to say this was not a local operation. This is a special forces driven takeover of eastern and southern Ukraine, not an uprising by locals.

Likewise, a sorta troublesome and cryptic response was made by the US: if the Russians cross the border, the US' response would be immediate and the consequences would be 'dramatic.' I spell some cojones growing. Or a bluff. Where's the 3rd Stryker?  Is the Bush still in the Aegean?


Frankly, the Ukrainians need to take the gloves off and go into Slavyansk.  Once that's done, turn on the other cities.  The longer they wait, the more likely they will lose eastern and southern Ukraine.  Turchynov: DO IT!  No one other than the Russians are going to blame you.  YOU ARE LOSING YOUR COUNTRY!

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