This storm is analogous to Hurricane David in Sept 1979. Models diverge from reality quickly, not because they're broken, but because of the chaotic features. Anyone familiar with alternate history understands that a small PoD, even with the same starting conditions, can or should produce something different. That this produced something very close to the same is a double plus good sign that the model is pretty accurate.
We're finishing the results summary today. Going to upload it prolly after lunch.
Enjoy the movie.
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