It may be time for another revision to Moore's Law, if Intel's recent troubles keeping pace are any indication.
In a conference call on Wednesday, Intel confirmed that its upcoming generation of processors, codenamed Cannonlake, will not launch until the second half of 2017 -- nearly three years after the previous generation was made available. To bridge the gap, Intel plans to launch the third iteration of its current-generation processors, codenamed Kaby Lake, in the second half of 2016.
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We've already broken the 18 month cycle. We've already slipped to 30 months and counting for the next iteration. The Singularity, sir; its done.
The hard limits of physics can't be beat, as I always try to tell proponents of the "singularity". Our path is much more of the "classical" sci fi.
ReplyDeleteCompanies do a good job of rebranding old products to pretend like they are still innovating rather than just tweaking--NVIDIA being one of the worst offenders for many years, but Anandtech.com noted that Intel has started to do the same now.
Looks like we're going to need a fundamental change in our approaches soon.