Thursday, July 16, 2015

Moore's Law: Stick a Fork in it! Its Done!

It may be time for another revision to Moore's Law, if Intel's recent troubles keeping pace are any indication.

In a conference call on Wednesday, Intel confirmed that its upcoming generation of processors, codenamed Cannonlake, will not launch until the second half of 2017 -- nearly three years after the previous generation was made available. To bridge the gap, Intel plans to launch the third iteration of its current-generation processors, codenamed Kaby Lake, in the second half of 2016.


We've already broken the 18 month cycle.  We've already slipped to 30 months and counting for the next iteration.  The Singularity, sir; its done.

 

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

The hard limits of physics can't be beat, as I always try to tell proponents of the "singularity". Our path is much more of the "classical" sci fi.

Companies do a good job of rebranding old products to pretend like they are still innovating rather than just tweaking--NVIDIA being one of the worst offenders for many years, but Anandtech.com noted that Intel has started to do the same now.

Looks like we're going to need a fundamental change in our approaches soon.