Showing posts with label afghanistan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label afghanistan. Show all posts

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Should Russia be Worried? China Makes Alliance With Pakistan, Afghanistan & Tajikistan

China is to set up an anti-terrorism alliance with Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan, state media said on Thursday, as it seeks to boost coordination with neighbors to tackle what it says is a growing domestic militant threat.

Fang Fenghui, a member of the powerful Central Military Commission which controls China's armed forces, hosted a meeting with his counterparts on Wednesday in Urumqi, capital of the western Xinjiang region, where officials say they are battling Islamist militants.

The four countries recognized the serious threat of terrorism and extremism to regional stability, the official Xinhua news agency said, and they agreed to set up a "four-country mechanism" for intelligence sharing and training.

"All parties reaffirmed they will cooperate to respond to these forces, and safeguard all member countries' peace and stability," Xinhua said.

Wednesday, March 04, 2015

Alternate History Crazy Thought: "Next Year in Nauvoo!"

James wrote a review of a book which in turn got me thinking because he mentioned the Utah War. This was the clash between Mormons in Utah under Brigham Young vs the Buchanan administration in DC, which little actual fighting took place and there were few deaths for something of an armed conflict of the time, save for the Mountain Meadows Massacre.

One of the contingencies Young planned was to move the Mormon community north on yet another exodus.  In this case, the plan was actually for the island of Vancouver.  For the moment, let's assume the US government has decided to rid themselves of these troublesome missionaries and Young triggers the exodus.  

Young showing up in British Columbia with more people than would have been in Vancouver until the 1900 would have really alarmed the Brits.  There would be three different possibilities here.  

The first is the least likely, IMO, and the border gets scarier in the late 1850s.  However, that's tempered in a big way by the fact the American Civil War was about to go boom.  On the other hand, it might not be after the Civil War since the President Grant tried to exploit the Red River Rebellion and Louis Riel to try to take Manitoba for the US.  On the gripping hand, if the Mormons had been harried out of Utah to Vancouver,  they are not likely to be big fans of America.

The next most likely event is the Mormons becoming fervent Canadians.  The Mormons get the spin of the Loyalist being persecuted by the damned Yanks and get used to anchor the western seaboard from American encroachment.  Vancouver becomes a Canadian Utah and Mormon Zion.  

Honestly though, with the reputation the Mormons had and their particular doctrines of the time, its more than likely the Brits are going to see them off.  I'm sorry, chaps, time to move along.  But where to?  After all, the Go West, Young Mormon!  Go West! kinda runs into the end of the continent.  They could go north, but...

Historically, Mormons when proselytizing in Polynesia and the Pacific Ocean islands.  Hawaii is probably the most noted of those missions.  So, harried from Missouri, harried from Utah, harried from Vancouver, the Mormons go West again...to Polynesia, but especially to Micronesia during the American Civil War while the Brits feel they can uproot the weird Americans with less chance of something going wrong.

Missonary work still goes on in Europe and elsewhere, but Zion is now the atolls and islands of Micronesia.  Guam would get a coral block temple and there they would stay for 30 years.  The world would not be done with our ATL Mormons.

The Spanish American War and the Imperial expansion of the Japanese would bring more misery to the ATL Mormons.  The Mormons would attempt to help the Spanish hold off the Americans, and it would have consequences.  The Americans would chase the Mormons from Guam and the Mormons would set up in the surrounding islands.  While already present in many places, they ended up concentrating in the Northern Mariana Islands. 

When the Japanese took them in 1914, things did not go well.  Increasingly wondering whether or not the Mormons were a 5th Column for the Americans, the Japanese packed up the lot of them and deported the Mormons to Taiwan at first, emptying the South Pacific Mandate of the potential guerilla army threat.  This is declared a success in 1925.  Once in Taiwan, the Japanese kept them apart in separate, dedicated colonies.  When the Kominka Movement kicked off, it was decided the Mormons were unredeemable and could not be remade into Japanese citizens.  The 60,000 of them were deported to Manchuria to work camps.

They would suffer through the deprivations of WW2 and come out the other side.  Unfortunately, the Chinese Communists, Mao especially, were not overly fond of them.  They were then moved to the Chinese West, Xinjiang, in the early 1950s.  Their numbers were now 50,000.  There they would stay and slow grow over the next 15 years.  Unfortunately, the Cultural Revolution would strike and being the most western (albeit very mixed at this point) group, the Mormons would suffer again.

However, this time the Mormons would make their own move.  The Prophet, Hyriam Hattig, would organize the exodus of the majority of members across the Chinese border into Afghanistan.  In 1968, the Mormons left China.  They would take up farming for a time in the mountains of Afghanistan.  The Afghanis were suspicious but also sympathetic.  At least until 1978.

The Soviet invasion of Afghanistan was a disaster.  For the Afghanis, the Soviets and now for the Mormons.  It would kill a number of Mormons.  It would also cause the Great Schism.  The Mormons had finally broken through 100,000 people at the start of the war in their settlements in their valleys.  However, Mormons had become very apolitical and only out for their own survival rather than to change or convert the world.  Most followed the 'render unto Caesar...'  When the communists took over, they rendered until caesar, or at least 75% of them did.  The rest, sick of their being the narrator of the world's dog, moved south, across the Hindu Kush and became the partisans everyone feared they would.  They would even spawn rival Prophets.  Those who moved south became the Abandoned (the Fallen as called by the Wanderers), in the Mormon terminology, and those who remained, the Wanderers (the Lost as called by the Abandoned).  

When the Soviet Union began withdrawing from Afghanistan, the Wanderer Mormons pleaded with the Soviets.  Gorbachev took them in and placed them in Crimea.  It did not make them popular with their new neighbors.  However, when the coup came in August 1991, Mormons took it on themselves to free and hide Gorbachev.  It would not stop the fall of the Soviet Union, but it would make the Ukrainians even less fond of them.  

They would cross into Europe and Wanderers would become a traveling people in the 1990s making their name a reality.  They would wander in their RVs there for another 24 years.  They would reunite once every three years for 'General Conference.'  Each band of Wanderer's is called a Ward.  Given how few Wanderers there are, each country has a Stake.  All of them report to the Prophet and Quorums.  The biggest change to the church and people would be they took up missionary work again.  Unfortunately, this didn't help their image.  A wandering group seeking converts.  Great.

Back in Pakistan, the Abandoned would slowly evolve their own way.  Their own revelations would state that Christ visited the Kashmir like he had the Americas.  They migrated to Kashmir and integrated, albeit roughly into society.  However, they were far, far more rough than their Wanderer cousins.  If someone knocked heads with them, they knocked them right back.  They built their own temple up in the glaciers.  It's been blown up twice.  But each time rebuilt.

In 2016, Jackson Tanner, an aspiring politician, would begin, successfully, to lobby for bringing the Mormons back to the US.  He succeeded in 2024 having argued the Mormons were US citizens by birth.  The genealogical records the Mormons kept were key.  

The Wanderers had always had the saying, "Next Year in Nauvoo" and in 2024, it came true.


Thursday, September 11, 2014

Pentagon Wants to buy 8 F-35s, 12 AH-64Es With Supplemental Wartime Funding

The Pentagon has asked the US Congress for permission to move just over USD1.9 billion in supplemental wartime funding, known as the Overseas Contingency Operations (OCO) account, into specific procurement accounts, with over half of that amount going to aircraft purchases.

The reprogramming request, dated 9 September and viewed by IHS Jane's , asks for USD404,000 million for 12 Boeing AH-64E Apache attack helicopters to replace 21 Bell OH-58D Kiowa Warrior helicopters lost in combat.

Friday, July 18, 2014

Are the Pakistanis and Iranians Clashing in Hemland Province, Afghanistan

The Afghan Intelligence – National Directorate of Security (NDS) Chief, Rahmatulllah Nabil, said Wednesday that the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and Pakistan’s Inter-service Intelligence (ISI) are involved behind the deadly clashes in Helmand province.

NDS Chief told Afghan lawmakers that the IRGC and ISI are seeking their interests in Helmand clashes.

Nabil said ISI is looking to provoke war in Helmand province and turn the area into a war zone.

He also added that the IRGC and ISI are currently working to implement their plans by taking advantage from the current political issues due to elections.

According to Nabil, Pakistan is directly involved in instability and continued violence in eastern, northeastern and western provinces where the militia men have been deployed to fight the Afghan forces.

The senior security officials were summoned in Afghan parliament on Wednesday to brief the lawmakers regrding the deadly clashes in Helmand province.

Saturday, January 18, 2014

How the Russian Military is Preparing for Central Asia's Potential Future Instability

The most recent issue of the Moscow Defense Brief has an interesting article by Maksim Shepovalenko on “Russian Preparations for Reduced Foreign Military Presence in Afghanstan.” It starts with the usual line on how the Taliban could spread instability to Central Asia if it came to power after the coming withdrawal of ISAF, which is an argument that I and others have found to be exaggerated at times. The threat of Islamist infiltration of Central Asia is often used by Central Asian and Russian governing elites to justify their security policies in the region, whereas most Islamist groups in the region are now far more focused on developments in Afghanistan itself and in parts of Pakistan. Islamist groups external to the region are primarily focused on fighting in Syria and, to a lesser extent, Iraq. So the greater threat to Central Asia comes from internal instability, such as the violent protests that have regularly shaken Kyrgyzstan in recent years, conflicts among the Central Asian states (as highlighted by the recent border conflict between Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan), and the possibility of fighting resulting from a succession crisis in Uzbekistan or Kazakhstan. But although it doesn’t say anything new on the nature of the threat facing Central Asia, the MDB article does gets interesting once it starts to talk about the capabilities of Russian forces in or near Central Asia.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Pentagon: Oblivion Scenario in Afghanistan

One of the major elements of Afghanistan’s air war will remain after most U.S. troops have headed home, the U.S. military command confirmed today. Armed drones, operated by the U.S., will remain over Afghanistan after 2014.

hmmm...

Monday, June 14, 2010

Sometimes He Just Does These Things...

This is a call out on Charlie Stross. I really like the guy. We've interacted online since around 1995. The largest part of that was on usenet in rec.arts.sf.written and soc.history.what-if. These days it has largely been through James Nicoll's livejournal that we bump into one another. That he has gone on to be a successful SF writer is pretty damned kewl.

Charlie has some quirky beliefs. Impending Peak Oil and his 'faith' in the Singularity. We rabidly disagree on those. That's fine. We also frequently disagree on politics. However, occassionally, he goes off and writes something that is pure wtf-ism.

Today's example is why we are in Afghanistan. o.O The NY Times wrote up an article boasting that the US military had just found a treasure trove of mineral deposits in Afghanistan. Something on the order of $1 trillion worth. The majority of it is supposed to be iron and copper, but there are substantial deposits of rare earth elements and lithium.

The problem is...this isn't a new discovery. It's based on the Soviet work done during the 1970s/80s when they were in the boxing ring there. Furthermore, the recent work on Afghanistan's mineral wealth is three years old!

It's not the military that found it. Civvies did the work, geological survey and whatnot. This wasn't based on some grand sat survey like he implies. See above. It was the Soviets, not Landsat or whatever.

One of the biggest sources in the NYT article happens to be a ministry in Afghanistan that is notoriously corrupt. In fact, one of the worst.

It took about 30 seconds of digging to find that info out.

The CF in Afghanistan isn't based on resource grabbing. Sorry, Charlie.

Dude.

Seriously.

30 seconds...

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Beast of Khandahar...In South Korea


The Beast of Kandahar gets around. The hitherto-classified Lockheed Martin RQ-170 Sentinel unmanned air vehicle (UAV), its existence disclosed after our enquiries in December, has been sighted outside Afghanistan.

A Korean newspaper report - overlooked when it appeared in December - has now surfaced and states that the UAV had been flying for several months from a South Korean base - probably Osan, where the USAF currently operates U-2s - before it was disclosed.

This revelation points directly to an answer to one of the puzzling questions about the Beast: why would you use a stealthy aircraft to spy on the Taliban? The answer is that you don't, but Afghanistan and South Korea have a common feature: they are next door to nations with missile development programs.


And also nuclear weapon programs for that matter.

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Monday, April 13, 2009

Monday Militaria: Mystery UCAV in Afghanistan


Afghanistan maybe the testing ground for a new, advanced but as yet undisclosed UCAV programme.

Pictures shown exclusively to Unmanned Vehicles magazine and taken at an airbase in the war-torn country reveal a large flying wing-type design, adopted by UCAV designers, but not yet seen on an operational type.

The image shown in the link below has been drawn directly from the photograph but none of the experts consulted by UV had any concrete idea of what the system might be.

The image shown to UV was taken from a long distance, as the aircraft taxied in on a hazy day, but the image was clear enough to show that this UAV’s design is like no other UAV in current operational service.


There are probably two reasons for a stealthy UCAV being used in Afghanistan. 1. It and iraq are the best real life testing grounds we have: the prototypes can actually be used with live ordinance on real missions. 2. There are elements in Pakistan, probably even a few radar techs, that are feeding info to people on the ground, so if the UCAV can't be seen, there's no chance of a warning...

The picture above is an artist's rendition based on photos taken. Mostly likely that's an American UCAV, since it fits proposals from around 8 to 5 years ago by various defense contractors, but it's not a given.